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If Barack Obama loses this election—and it is now looking quite possible that he will—there will be many causes. The primary reason can be stated in three words: "God damn America." Reverend Wright's imprecation against his own country solidified, in the minds of many voters, their suspicion that Obama's true sympathies lie with the anti-American far left, disqualifying him for the office of commander-in-chief.
But Obama has made many subsidiary mistakes, and Dick Morris identified one of them more than a week ago, in the article linked to below: the Democratic convention presented the argument against George W. Bush—instead of arguing against Obama's actual opponent.
Joe Lieberman called the Democrats on their equation of McCain with Bush, and McCain chose a vice-presidential running mate who reminds people of Reagan—Michael Reagan hails her as the reincarnation of his father—rather than Bush. So the Democrats' argument completely missed its target. As Morris put it, they were "shooting at the decoy, not the duck."
Obama's campaign has so far failed to correct this error. Faced with the Palin phenomenon, for example, the best Obama's main campaign advisor could manage was to claim that "She's a stalwart supporter of the policies that we have," and that "That's the issue in this race." If the Obama campaign thinks this race is a referendum on an outgoing president, and that all Obama has to do to win is to not be George W. Bush, then they are going to lose.
I should note, however, that the Republicans aren't doing a whole lot to deserve a victory either. I don't agree completely with the most recent column by Debra Saunders, but she has a point when she writes that the Republicans "made the convention too personal—too much about McCain, too little about his vision on how he would govern."
But Tom Bevan captures something correct about the nature of the campaign when he sums it up this way:
The Obama campaign wants to cast November 4th as a referendum on the last eight years under George W. Bush. Eighty percent of Americans feel the country is on the wrong track and McCain offers "more of the same," they argue.
The McCain campaign, on the other hand, wants November 4th to be a referendum on Barack Obama. He's a political celebrity with little experience, few accomplishments, questionable associations and no record of leadership, they say.
The Republicans are arguing against their actual opponent, while the Democrats are arguing against a candidate who is not on the ballot—and that is one of the reasons their candidate is losing.
"Dems' Big Blunder and McCain's Big Chance," Dick Morris, RealClearPolitics, August 28
Many political campaigns run against the wrong candidate. The opportunity to pick on a vulnerable target is so tempting that they are lured into attacking someone who isn't running.
In 1992, the Republicans unleashed their convention barrage at Hillary Clinton and left Bill unscathed. In 1996, Dole still ran against Clinton the liberal and ignored the changes in his political positioning. Campaigns go after the flaming red cape, so glittering a target, and leave the matador alone.
That's what the Democratic convention has been doing in Denver. They are so anxious to run against Bush, their animosity is so pent up, that they persist in running against a man who is not seeking a third term. In speech after speech, the Democrats knock the Bush record and then add, lamely, that GOP candidate Sen. John McCain (Ariz.) is the same as Bush. Or they call the McCain candidacy Bush's third term. It was no accident—or Freudian slip—when vice presidential nominee Sen. Joseph Biden (Del.) spoke of John Bush instead of George in his litany of attacks.
This pattern of shooting at the decoy, not the duck, gives McCain a bold strategic opportunity. He can nullify the impact of the entire Democratic convention simply by distancing himself from Bush.
By esanch36 on Sep 10, 2008, 06:13 in Off Topic.
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aztec says on Sep 10, 2008, 08:27: I have reminded my friends on the Left many times (even here) that George Bush cannot serve another term. He is not running for President.
0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Lcacique says on Sep 10, 2008, 11:54: Wrong aztec. "Es fácil vivir con los ojos cerrados interpretando todo lo que se ve mal..." ~ J. Lennon 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Lcacique says on Sep 10, 2008, 12:22: Well, tasco...McCain is not Bush. But he did support him over 90% of the time and that says something about McCain. And, as I pointed out above, he is being advised by Bush advisors...a strange move for someone who supposedly does not agree with the man. Clearly, Republicans do not want people associating the two; therefore, ignore the fact that McCain has supported Bush most of the time (yes, they have had their differences...not too many) and ignore the fact that he employees important figures from the Bush team. At least the article notes that McCain has spent the whole time talking about being locked in a box instead of focusing on things that actually matter in this election. And it is obvious why he would avoid such discussions, opting to play the sympathy card. "Es fácil vivir con los ojos cerrados interpretando todo lo que se ve mal..." ~ J. Lennon 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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aztec says on Sep 10, 2008, 12:26: First paragraph is right out of the Democratic Party manual. Second paragraph is Hollywood.
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tasco66 says on Sep 10, 2008, 13:17: "Well, tasco..." Newsweek on Uribe: "he's delivered the trifecta of peace, security, and prosperity" 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Lcacique says on Sep 10, 2008, 13:20: Your sentence is out of the Republican Party Manual. "Es fácil vivir con los ojos cerrados interpretando todo lo que se ve mal..." ~ J. Lennon 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Lcacique says on Sep 10, 2008, 13:25: Sorry tasco...I know you did not write the articles, you are just posting them. However, I assumed that you posted them because you agreed with them. And the article claims that it is somehow not appropriate to link McCain to Bush. I disagree given his voting record, though I recognize that their are some differences. "Es fácil vivir con los ojos cerrados interpretando todo lo que se ve mal..." ~ J. Lennon 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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esanch36 says on Sep 10, 2008, 13:28: As for Senator Obama, his various pronouncements on foreign policy have been as immature as they have been presumptuous.
0 funny, 1 helpful. |
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tasco66 says on Sep 10, 2008, 13:32: Which article? I did not post anything on this thread? Newsweek on Uribe: "he's delivered the trifecta of peace, security, and prosperity" 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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pobrecito says on Sep 10, 2008, 13:42: "We should all have second thoughts about what is, and is not, foreign policy "experience.""
0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Lcacique says on Sep 10, 2008, 13:55: esanch36: Great job of cutting and pasting without documenting your source. There is nothing wrong with agreeing with the words of another, but the least you could do is acknowledge that you are lifting the thoughts and ideas of someone else. "Es fácil vivir con los ojos cerrados interpretando todo lo que se ve mal..." ~ J. Lennon 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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paulr says on Sep 10, 2008, 14:09: Let the Daily show with Jon Stewart highlight a few things that half the country can´t see, why can´t they see what´s in front of their face? "paulr threatens me with death !" pobrecito 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Lcacique says on Sep 10, 2008, 14:13: You are welcome, esanch36. "Es fácil vivir con los ojos cerrados interpretando todo lo que se ve mal..." ~ J. Lennon 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Lcacique says on Sep 10, 2008, 14:23: kalder: yes, ratfucking. "Es fácil vivir con los ojos cerrados interpretando todo lo que se ve mal..." ~ J. Lennon 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Lcacique says on Sep 10, 2008, 22:38: esanch36: I guess others are concerned about Pakistan as well. "Es fácil vivir con los ojos cerrados interpretando todo lo que se ve mal..." ~ J. Lennon 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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pobrecito says on Sep 11, 2008, 01:16: The numerous posts of esanch about Obama (a black) and his avatar against costenos (many black people) ("Soho de la Costa" with "10 razones para no trabajar") have a foul odor ...
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esanch36 says on Sep 11, 2008, 05:51: Pobrecito shut up, go back to your hole....costenos arent only black they can be white, tan, whatever.....I have cousins that live on the cost and they make fun my other cousins that live in the city too.
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esanch36 says on Sep 11, 2008, 06:27: No they arent,,,but they are costenos. I have never said anything against blacks. Leave troll
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tasco66 says on Sep 11, 2008, 06:28: The French troll will never leave, maybe change ids, butter never will leave.. Newsweek on Uribe: "he's delivered the trifecta of peace, security, and prosperity" 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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esanch36 says on Sep 11, 2008, 06:33: i dont think this is cassini....this probrecito is really stupid..from what a remeber cassini was that dumb
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tasco66 says on Sep 11, 2008, 09:06: How Obama lost the election Newsweek on Uribe: "he's delivered the trifecta of peace, security, and prosperity" 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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