Right now President Uribe is speaking live. The child Emmanuel may not have been with the farc but in Bogota. A DNA test is now being done on the grandmother. This is a HUGE international scandal!
By catherine b on Dec 31, 2007, 12:58 in Politics & the war.
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juancegomez says on Dec 31, 2007, 13:12: It would be huge if true.
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catherine b says on Dec 31, 2007, 13:15: Right now it's just a hypothesis, but really Juance, with the eyes of the world watching and knowing how shrewd Uribe is do you really think he'd go out on a limb like that?
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juancegomez says on Dec 31, 2007, 13:19: If you ask me, either he's actually got something really concrete, or he's rushing things for reasons that are mere speculation.
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catherine b says on Dec 31, 2007, 13:21: For those who don't have access to caracol. Here's a link to the story.
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catherine b says on Dec 31, 2007, 13:24: Juance, I agree that we can't confirm anything yet. But if it were a lie Uribe would never recover from that. My point is that there's a lot more that has'nt been revealed yet.
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dwr says on Dec 31, 2007, 13:26: I would bet a hundred spot that Uribe's info is correct. I would bet another that farc will not release anybody.
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tomtom33 says on Dec 31, 2007, 13:31: Here's hoping that they trade Oliver Stone for some hostages.
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fecherklyn says on Dec 31, 2007, 13:41: As has already been said......many things still need to be clarified/confirmed.
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catherine b says on Dec 31, 2007, 13:45: Whoever this little boy is he's been the victim of child abuse. Sad.
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webmanco says on Dec 31, 2007, 13:51: Since when is its supposely Emmanuel at ICBF "Instituto Colombiano de Bienestar Familiar" ...A yo, déjenme queto y no me jodan má! ... 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Cerealkiller says on Dec 31, 2007, 14:06: Its very a very sad possibility. From what I read though, it is just a hypothesis and nothing has been confirmed. I don't think that if untrue it would hurt Uribe's popularity -or lack thereof- domestically or abroad. The man has recovered from numerous scandals this year, hypothesizing on the FARC's lack of commitment is not going to make a difference. Conservatives are not necessarily stupid, but most stupid people are conservatives -John Stuart Mill 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Sr Tertius says on Dec 31, 2007, 14:09: Fecherklyn: That somebody, I'm afraid, is pretty much everybody. Neither FARC nor anyone else (Uribe, or Chavez, maybe the Red Cross) are in this situation out of the kindness of their hearts. To be honest, I don't even think that Colombian society in general care that much about the fate of these people; we are so polarized that the main concern is who is going to look like a fool, Uribe, Chavez, FARC, or everyone. I'm afraid this conflict has dried up our hearts. "When the finger points to the moon, the fool looks at the finger" (Chinese proverb) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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catherine b says on Dec 31, 2007, 14:12: I think it would hurt him enormously and he knows it. I honestly don't believe he'd make those revelations public unless he already had something concrete.
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catherine b says on Dec 31, 2007, 14:16: Chavez just declared amnesty or a presidential pardon to all those who participated in the 2002 attemptd coup.
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juancegomez says on Dec 31, 2007, 14:21: Sr Tertius : True enough, but since he did say it was a hypothesis, not a fact, at least that allows him a viable way out in the case it turns out to be either a mistaken assumption or, hopefully not, an outright lie.
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webmanco says on Dec 31, 2007, 14:24: Colombian society in general care that much about the fate of these people. ...A yo, déjenme queto y no me jodan má! ... 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Desideria (Moderator) says on Dec 31, 2007, 14:33: I believe everybody participating in this cruel game of chess in which the lives of two innocent women and a small child do not matter; they are just pawns to be moved one step ahead, two sideways, three steps back, is looking worse and worse all the time. The FARC are looking bad, Uribe is looking really bad and Chavez and Piedad are not looking any better either. "When shall we three meet again? In thunder, lightning, or in rain?"(First Witch in Macbeth) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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catherine b says on Dec 31, 2007, 14:41: Desi, why do you say that Uribe is looking really bad? I agree that it's become a game of chess with little regard to the hostages and their families. But Uribe has pretty much given in to most of farcs and Chavez demands (other than resigning).
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Sr Tertius says on Dec 31, 2007, 14:42: Catherine: Of course it's no coincidence, but I don't quite get your indignation. Do you think that Uribe's discovery (if it is true) that this kid was in ICBF was just coincidental to everything that is happening in Villavo? I highly doubt it. "When the finger points to the moon, the fool looks at the finger" (Chinese proverb) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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juancegomez says on Dec 31, 2007, 14:44: Yes, it's probably like a game of chess to a large extent alright, but one that is being played behind closed doors, not publicly.
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catherine b says on Dec 31, 2007, 14:47: Of course Uribe had to know about this and I believe he often lets Chavez treat him as a pendejo only to force his hand.
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webmanco says on Dec 31, 2007, 14:49: It looks more like a game of Teto, no one wants to "agacharse" ...A yo, déjenme queto y no me jodan má! ... 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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catherine b says on Dec 31, 2007, 14:51: Sr Tertius, my indignation is that this poor woman (the grandmother) has been repeatedly promised she would have her daughter and grandson by xmas then by new years. She was even made to fly to Caracas (77 years old and with a walker) and all this time farc and possibly Chavez knew where this kid was.
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Desideria (Moderator) says on Dec 31, 2007, 14:52: Catherine; two things that are making Uribe look bad: first this boy that was left at 8 months of age at ICBF in San José de Guaviare, while there are testimonies of escaped guerrillas and desertors about Emmanuel being raised up by the guerrilla soldiers who play with him and make him toy horses of wood. It looks like Uribe was clutching to a straw to draw the attention away from Chavez and Oliver Stone and Piedad and all these other people; of course the possibility remains that the witnesses were talking about some other kid or just lying. "When shall we three meet again? In thunder, lightning, or in rain?"(First Witch in Macbeth) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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juancegomez says on Dec 31, 2007, 14:58: Desi: I would have preferred his staying too, but I don't really think his brief presence in Villavicencio alone is going to prevent FARC from freeing people in the middle of the jungle or in a remote area, in or near Meta, Guaviare, Caquetá or some other department.
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fecherklyn says on Dec 31, 2007, 15:17: I think the difference this time is this scenario is being acted out under the public spotlights. Of course the main actors have been playing chess for some time now....but enter the "human interest" plot (homeless children, aged grandmothers hoping for family reunification, etc) and you suddenly have a new audience.
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Sr Tertius says on Dec 31, 2007, 16:56: Well, fecherklyn, I hope too that I am wrong. But for some people the fact that Oliver Stone didn't get his documentary, or that this looks bad on Chavez and FARC, outweighs the pain that the families of the kidnapped are experiencing. "When the finger points to the moon, the fool looks at the finger" (Chinese proverb) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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slguy says on Dec 31, 2007, 17:03: Just curious. Before you throw me out, make sure I pay my bar tab 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Medellin Traveler says on Dec 31, 2007, 17:28: I feel for the poor family members that have had so suffer yet again by these charades, especially around the freakin' holidays when everyone should be home with family, friends and loved ones. "Huevos Rancheros en Medellin, No Quiero Taco Bell." - www.medellintraveler.com 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Sr Tertius says on Dec 31, 2007, 17:47: slguy: FARC released several soldiers during the Caguan years. Aside from that, I think there is very little precedent of negotiations with them for hostage releases. An analyst recently pointed out the change in strategy in FARC during the Uribe years, from a territorial war to a hostage war; Uribe's security policy worked pretty well to contain the former (there was a strategy), but it's not doing so well with the latter (there is clearly NO strategy). All sides are learning how to "fight" in this scenario as they go, and absent any channels of communication, it shouldn't surprise us that they seem so clumsy in trying to break a deal. Unfortunately, that makes it even harder for those directly involved, the families and the kidnapped. "When the finger points to the moon, the fool looks at the finger" (Chinese proverb) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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catherine b says on Dec 31, 2007, 17:52: I like your two cents.
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billyb says on Dec 31, 2007, 17:55: slguy, we have had first hand experience with what the FARC's word means (absoulutely nothing). Two cousins that were kidnapped, were killed after several months of negotiations and an obscene ransome being paid. And these were two seperate situations. I know for a fact that the FARC lies when it comes to hostages.
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slguy says on Dec 31, 2007, 17:58: "slguy: FARC released several soldiers during the Caguan years. Aside from that, I think there is very little precedent of negotiations with them for hostage releases." Before you throw me out, make sure I pay my bar tab 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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john_stark says on Dec 31, 2007, 18:01: I'd nuke the whole lot of them, FARC, hostages, Venezuelans, NGOs, all of them.
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Medellin Traveler says on Dec 31, 2007, 18:29: john_stark, "Huevos Rancheros en Medellin, No Quiero Taco Bell." - www.medellintraveler.com 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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john_stark says on Dec 31, 2007, 18:34: I'd give him the honor of riding that puppy like Slim Pickens in Dr. Strangelove.
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Sr Tertius says on Dec 31, 2007, 18:34: Catherine: There's a larger diplomatic component to all of this, and unless Uribe gets the families on his side, any strategy he draws may fall short in legitimacy. A year or so ago he could've ignore them, but now he can't. And the families have shown little sympathy toward the government. I can't blame them: Some government officials, like the Minister of Interior, has treated them literally like shit. "When the finger points to the moon, the fool looks at the finger" (Chinese proverb) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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catherine b says on Dec 31, 2007, 18:38: Sr Tertius, thanks for the info. That is something many people fail to understand: If the government wages a full scale war on farc you know there will be many if not all hostages killed in the crossfire. That's not something any responsible government wants on their hands. Uribe really is in a catch-22.
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billyb says on Dec 31, 2007, 18:43: Sr. T , I don't think Uribe is unwilling to talk to the FARC, he is just unwilling to prostrate himself to their demands and give up sovereign territory like Pastrana did.
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Sr Tertius says on Dec 31, 2007, 18:47: I certainly don't envy Uribe's position. I acknowledge that he has made some very good strategic decisions to contain FARC's territorial expansion that started in the early 2000's, but in the current situation he has made a lot of mistakes. Involving Chavez was probably the biggest one, but there were more. "When the finger points to the moon, the fool looks at the finger" (Chinese proverb) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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slguy says on Dec 31, 2007, 20:09: I am not saying never to talk to them. But Puhlease! Chavez, Piedad, Oilver F'in Stone? Complete and utter waste of time, from the get go. And raising the victim's families' hopes, with no realistic expectation of success. Before you throw me out, make sure I pay my bar tab 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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goin_south says on Dec 31, 2007, 20:34: delighted to read all of this thread... “ I would rather be a conservative nut job rather than a liberal with no nuts and no job.” But, really what I am is a colombiana's sex slave; she took me by force, and I submitted ;-) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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tomtom33 says on Jan 1, 2008, 00:28: Here is a strategy for you: There will never be any negotiation for any hostages under any circumstances punto.
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goin_south says on Jan 1, 2008, 00:31: eh, tomtom.. and that is why j_s has a point: “ I would rather be a conservative nut job rather than a liberal with no nuts and no job.” But, really what I am is a colombiana's sex slave; she took me by force, and I submitted ;-) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Sr Tertius says on Jan 1, 2008, 07:45: "I don't think Uribe is unwilling to talk to the FARC" "When the finger points to the moon, the fool looks at the finger" (Chinese proverb) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Medellin Traveler says on Jan 1, 2008, 08:34: What a joke! "Huevos Rancheros en Medellin, No Quiero Taco Bell." - www.medellintraveler.com 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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juancegomez says on Jan 1, 2008, 09:45: I'd have to agree with SrTertius...Uribe has no clear strategy as far as negotiating in general goes, and instead seems to keep improvising on a regular basis. This seems to apply to almost all negotiation processes under this administration, including that with the AUC paramilitaries, to a large extent.
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SamGompers says on Jan 1, 2008, 10:05: anybody got any updates on the situation?
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webmanco says on Jan 1, 2008, 10:09: Could it be that the goverment knew long time ago that a baby who could be "Emmanuel" was at the ICBF, and were just waiting for someone "from FARC" to pick the kid up. If that were the case I feel for the granmother. and the kids relatives ...A yo, déjenme queto y no me jodan má! ... 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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catherine b says on Jan 1, 2008, 10:16: Well "suspicious" activity started to take place on December 28 when someone claiming to be the kid's dad went to this orphanage looking for him after leaving him there 2 years ago and at the time claiming to be his great uncle.
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catherine b says on Jan 1, 2008, 10:19: Oh another thing. The International Red Cross confirmed yesterday that the Colombian government had already advised them of their suspicions regarding Emmanuel on December 29, but for reasons of state confidentiality and security for the child they withheld the information until Uribe released it yesterday.
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catherine b says on Jan 1, 2008, 10:41: You know if the whole thing with the hostages and their relatives we'nt so incredibly sad and tragic I could laugh more heartily at all the protagagonists.
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Desideria (Moderator) says on Jan 1, 2008, 10:45: Can the DNA test done on one grandparent determine if the child really is Emmanuel? "When shall we three meet again? In thunder, lightning, or in rain?"(First Witch in Macbeth) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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catherine b says on Jan 1, 2008, 10:47: I think so. From what I've read the mitochondrial DNA(inherited from our mothers) does'nt change. So Emmanuel should have the same mitochondrial DNA as his maternal grandmother.
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timeforachangeofid says on Jan 1, 2008, 10:58: I could laugh more heartily at all the protagagonists Common sense is the collection of prejudices acquired by age eighteen. Albert Einstein 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Desideria (Moderator) says on Jan 1, 2008, 10:59: Ok. I was just wondering how reliable the those tests are, when not done on parents themselves. "When shall we three meet again? In thunder, lightning, or in rain?"(First Witch in Macbeth) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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catherine b says on Jan 1, 2008, 11:03: "I could laugh more heartily at all the protagagonists
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webmanco says on Jan 1, 2008, 11:08: Regardless of Chavez protagonimst or good or bad, I do see El Tiempo cartoons to be of bad taste, mocking Chavez. ...A yo, déjenme queto y no me jodan má! ... 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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catherine b says on Jan 1, 2008, 11:23: Goodness, you should see the cartoons, interactive games, etc from other countries as well...especially the Venezuelan opposition press.
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goin_south says on Jan 1, 2008, 14:13: I'm jus guessin... that is Simon Bolivar... 'glaring at Chavez' from the background photo... jaj... seems appropriate to me. “ I would rather be a conservative nut job rather than a liberal with no nuts and no job.” But, really what I am is a colombiana's sex slave; she took me by force, and I submitted ;-) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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slguy says on Jan 1, 2008, 14:32: yep. that would be Bolivar. Before you throw me out, make sure I pay my bar tab 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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Desideria (Moderator) says on Jan 1, 2008, 14:37: Oh, so it's not true that "Bolivar nació en Caracas en un potrero lleno de vacas...." "When shall we three meet again? In thunder, lightning, or in rain?"(First Witch in Macbeth) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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bill230 says on Jan 1, 2008, 15:43: What a stange story, and tragic, of course.
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catherine b says on Jan 1, 2008, 16:02: bill230, certainly not as huge an international story as Benazir Bhutto's assasination or the dozens of deaths in Kenya, but if you know the background of this story and have been following it you'll understand why it's a scandal.
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catherine b says on Jan 1, 2008, 16:46: The International Red Cross is still in Villavicencio and will remain there a few more days. There are still a couple of Venezuelan helicopters stationed there. Who knows? Maybe the 2 women will be released, but without all the fanfare.
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catherine b says on Jan 1, 2008, 17:53: The genetics team has returned to Bogota and now they're saying the results should be in within 10 to 15 days. Why so long??? Does anybody here know anything about dna tests?
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CatGirl says on Jan 1, 2008, 18:00: There are a few types....depending on what you are looking for. Not sure what they ordered, but I would think they would cover all bases. For all to be complete I have seen 14 -21 days typical time. Depends on the lab and resources they use. Genetics is the up and coming specialty - many times the tests and results relys on the current standard practices - "evidenced based medicine" - this in itself can be similar to a political debate. Love and Time: the only two things that cannot be bought, but only spent 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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catherine b says on Jan 1, 2008, 18:23: Thanks CatGirl. I guess that makes sense the 10-15 days.
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CatGirl says on Jan 1, 2008, 18:44: Yep...some practionners can argue. Some tests are too sensitive and some too broad or general. Many times there are additional tests to ensure the other tests were accurate jaja(complicated). If they want to ensure compete accuracy, they will do all of them. This can take time. Love and Time: the only two things that cannot be bought, but only spent 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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catherine b says on Jan 1, 2008, 19:42: Jose Gomez, the man who claimed to be the child's great uncle and later his father when he tried to retrieve him from bienestar familiar confessed to authorities today that he is not related to the boy.
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slguy says on Jan 1, 2008, 20:27: The Bolivar childhood home I visited was a very nice, typically-styled spanish colonial home. They even pointed out the trees in the courtyard, under which the future liberator studied. Before you throw me out, make sure I pay my bar tab 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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bill230 says on Jan 2, 2008, 05:56: Catherine: Usually, scandal means disgrace to someone or some organization. It seems strange to call Farc's behaviour scandalous, so I assumed you meant someone else.
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billyb says on Jan 2, 2008, 06:14: Failure to free hostages a fresh defeat for Chávez
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billyb says on Jan 2, 2008, 06:21: Chavez's New Diplomatic Defeat
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billyb says on Jan 2, 2008, 07:00: Enero 2 de 2008
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billyb says on Jan 2, 2008, 09:06: Argentinean opposition lambastes Kirchner for ties with Chávez (El Universal)
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goin_south says on Jan 2, 2008, 14:39: can someone summarize, what's happened today... “ I would rather be a conservative nut job rather than a liberal with no nuts and no job.” But, really what I am is a colombiana's sex slave; she took me by force, and I submitted ;-) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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billyb says on Jan 2, 2008, 15:04: I'll summerize for you, NOTHING. They got DNA samples from Clara's mom and brother to compare with the kid, the wait continues.
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catherine b says on Jan 2, 2008, 15:58: Well, this story has more twists than a Byzantine labrynth. Now there's a hostage William Johany Domínguez who was kidnapped in February of 2007 who claims he always saw a child with Clara and Ingrid. But Jhon Pinchao who escaped from farc in April, 2007 claims that Ingrid and Clara had ben separated for several months before his escape and he remembers seeing the child when he was about 1 year old. The farc would bring him occasionally to Clara but she was not allowed to keep him.
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billyb says on Jan 2, 2008, 19:07: eltiempo.com / politica
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billyb says on Jan 2, 2008, 19:15: "Ya ellos saben el resultado. Allí estará la mano siniestra de los Estados Unidos. Todos los exámenes que ellos hagan demostrarán que ese niño 'es Emmanuel'. Habrá en consecuencia dos Emmanuel
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goin_south says on Jan 2, 2008, 19:56: (brief, capsulizations... en ingles... por todos.. as this story unravels, .. por favor.) “ I would rather be a conservative nut job rather than a liberal with no nuts and no job.” But, really what I am is a colombiana's sex slave; she took me by force, and I submitted ;-) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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christobeldawg says on Jan 2, 2008, 20:08: pero Gs you are forgetting some of us speak primarily Spanish here. You gringos think we all should speak English. admittedly, arriving can feel great too 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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goin_south says on Jan 2, 2008, 20:11: hay no problema Dawg. “ I would rather be a conservative nut job rather than a liberal with no nuts and no job.” But, really what I am is a colombiana's sex slave; she took me by force, and I submitted ;-) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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christobeldawg says on Jan 2, 2008, 20:24: jajaja. agreed. manifestations are also sweet. admittedly, arriving can feel great too 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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christobeldawg says on Jan 2, 2008, 20:54: so is the hostage deal definitely done, or just on hold, or on wtf? admittedly, arriving can feel great too 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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billyb says on Jan 3, 2008, 05:44: Still on hold. A loose translation of the post above is that the FARC, through their mouthpiece, ANNCOL, are already preparing their story for when DNA might prove that the kid in Bogota is Clara's and are starting to say that of course the DNA will say it is, because the US will manipulate the results. So like everything else on this earth, it is the fault of you fokin americans, jaja.
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Mr. Hollywood says on Jan 3, 2008, 07:55: Of course, it was those scurvy Brits who discovered DNA, so maybe it will be their fault.
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athensugadawg says on Jan 3, 2008, 18:00: A better way to handle this is to split samples among the Colombian team and a designated Venezuelan team and then compare the independent results....given that these are not "precious" samples (i.e. the child in question and the abuela are still alive), I think that this would be a feasible solution that the FARC could not dispute...
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athensugadawg says on Jan 3, 2008, 18:10: Even better...submit samples to each country that had observers that were present at the hostage hand-off that never happened. Then have Oliver Stone present the results in his "mockumentary"...
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CatGirl says on Jan 3, 2008, 19:45: MMmm Hello boys....It's like Anna Nichole all over again....waiting for DNA. Purrr Love and Time: the only two things that cannot be bought, but only spent 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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goin_south says on Jan 3, 2008, 20:32: Anna 1, anna 2, anna ... who? “ I would rather be a conservative nut job rather than a liberal with no nuts and no job.” But, really what I am is a colombiana's sex slave; she took me by force, and I submitted ;-) 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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billyb says on Jan 4, 2008, 06:16: The OAS is going to do follow up tests.
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robi666 says on Jan 4, 2008, 06:31: http://www.eltiempo.com/politica/2008-01-04/ARTICULO-WEB-NOTA_INTERIOR... "I am a citizen of the most beautiful nation on earth. A nation whose laws are harsh yet simple, a nation that never cheats, which is immense and without borders, where life is lived in the present." 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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slguy says on Jan 4, 2008, 10:04: The Miami Herald's reporting a match. Before you throw me out, make sure I pay my bar tab 0 funny, 0 helpful. |
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